Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.000551 0.000637 0.000728 0.000832 0.000947 0.001070 0.001212
2025-06-22 0.000416 0.000532 0.000666 0.000829 0.001021 0.001239 0.001503
2025-06-29 0.000341 0.000468 0.000622 0.000818 0.001059 0.001343 0.001698
2025-07-06 0.000281 0.000413 0.000580 0.000802 0.001084 0.001427 0.001867
2025-07-13 0.000250 0.000388 0.000571 0.000821 0.001149 0.001556 0.002092
2025-07-20 0.000222 0.000364 0.000558 0.000833 0.001203 0.001672 0.002301
2025-07-27 0.000192 0.000333 0.000533 0.000824 0.001226 0.001748 0.002459
2025-08-03 0.000165 0.000302 0.000504 0.000809 0.001238 0.001806 0.002595
2025-08-10 0.000148 0.000286 0.000495 0.000818 0.001283 0.001909 0.002789
2025-08-17 0.000132 0.000268 0.000482 0.000820 0.001316 0.001995 0.002963
2025-08-24 0.000112 0.000241 0.000451 0.000793 0.001306 0.002021 0.003055
2025-08-31 0.000095 0.000217 0.000423 0.000768 0.001298 0.002047 0.003146
2025-09-07 0.000084 0.000203 0.000410 0.000766 0.001322 0.002121 0.003308
2025-09-14 0.000074 0.000190 0.000398 0.000764 0.001348 0.002197 0.003473
2025-09-21 0.000065 0.000175 0.000382 0.000754 0.001359 0.002252 0.003609
2025-09-28 0.000056 0.000160 0.000363 0.000739 0.001361 0.002292 0.003724
2025-10-05 0.000052 0.000156 0.000364 0.000757 0.001415 0.002411 0.003955
2025-10-12 0.000047 0.000151 0.000362 0.000768 0.001460 0.002516 0.004167
2025-10-19 0.000041 0.000140 0.000349 0.000760 0.001471 0.002570 0.004305
2025-10-26 0.000036 0.000128 0.000333 0.000745 0.001470 0.002607 0.004417
2025-11-02 0.000033 0.000124 0.000330 0.000754 0.001510 0.002705 0.004622
2025-11-09 0.000029 0.000117 0.000324 0.000755 0.001536 0.002783 0.004799
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000105 0.000304 0.000730 0.001515 0.002786 0.004862